Tourexpi
On
the eve of the UK Government’s first Visitor Economy Advisory Council, the
global tourism body revealed data that shows £60BN1 is at risk over the
next 10 years, in lost tourism business.
While
forecasts indicate short-term stability, the long-term outlook is weak as the
UK loses ground to European competitors.
The
UK’s Travel & Tourism sector directly employs almost the same number of
people as the NHS2. It contributed £280BN to the UK economy in 2024 (10.3%) and
supported over 4.1MN jobs (11.3%)3. It also contributes c.£100BN annually to
the Treasury in tax revenues, yet successive governments have shown little
interest in Travel & Tourism.
The
opportunity for growth is considerable. Global Travel & Tourism is expected
to grow 3.7% annually over the next 10 years, compared to 2.4% for the wider
global economy4.
However,
in the UK, the future looks troubling. Over the next five years, the UK is
expected to have one of the lowest growth rates in overnight international
arrivals. It is set to lag other European tourism powerhouses, such as Spain,
Germany, and Italy, which place Travel & Tourism at the heart of government
decision-making.
WTTC
has identified several key areas that urgently require government action to
unlock the sector’s full potential:
·
UK Travel & Tourism businesses are
already impacted by the recent increase in National Insurance, and higher than
European average VAT rates. With the increases in Air Passenger Duty (APD) and
the introduction of an ETA, a visa waiver which could rise from £10 to £16 per
visitor, the UK is pricing travellers out of the UK, toward other
destinations
·
As the organisation charged with
promoting tourism in the UK, VisitBritain is seriously under-funded when
compared to its competitors around the world, which in many cases receive
double the government investment. Additional investment is crucial to continue
attracting visitors, and ensure the economic benefits extend beyond
London
·
Global travellers are choosing other
European destinations, attracted by the tax-free shopping removed in 2021,
which could generate an estimated £3BN5 to UK Plc
·
The Treasury has mooted a central
“hotel tax” that will further deter travellers, could cost jobs, and cause
major hotel investors to look elsewhere
·
Without targeted reforms, these
barriers will continue to stifle competitiveness and deter high-value
travellers from choosing the UK.
Julia
Simpson, WTTC President & CEO said "The UK is at a critical juncture.
The Government is looking for growth and its Travel & Tourism sector offers
just that. As one of the country’s largest employers alongside the NHS,
contributing £280BN to the UK economy last year, the sector has been
misunderstood and poorly treated by successive governments.
“The
Government cannot tax its way out of debt, it needs to invest to grow. UK taxes
are higher than many of its competitors – VAT, no tax-free shopping, employers
National Insurance, APD, and now a potential new hotel tax, making the UK
expensive to operate in and expensive to visit.
“Tourism
promotion in the UK is chronically underinvested and it is arrogant to think
tourists will always come to the UK. I applaud the initiative by the new
Minister for Media, Tourism, & Creative Industries, Rt Hon Sir Chris Bryant
MP, to get leaders round the table at the Visitor Economy Advisory Council to
tackle this and ensure Travel & Tourism can continue to be a major engine
to economic growth.
“The
new government has a unique opportunity to change the trajectory of Travel
& Tourism in the UK. Despite the industry’s resilience, years of government
inertia are taking their toll. We welcome the new government’s commitment to
surpassing 50 million visitors by 2030, but this can only be achieved with the
right policies in place.”
Travel
& Tourism is not just a cornerstone of the UK economy – it’s a vital driver
of tax revenue, job creation, and regional development. Yet systemic challenges
threaten to undermine its potential and erode the country’s global tourism
leadership.
Price
Competitiveness: A Global Low
The
UK ranks a shocking 113th out of 119 countries for price competitiveness,
according to the World Economic Forum’s 2024 Travel & Tourism Development
Index. Key issues include high VAT, lack of VAT-free shopping, rising aviation
taxes, and costly visa requirements – challenges further compounded by
relatively low government investment in marketing and regional tourism.
UK:
Losing Ground to Competitors
The
UK’s overreliance on US visitors compounds this issue. As the largest inbound
market in 2019 and 2023, US visitors account for a significant share of
spending.
However,
this dependence leaves the industry vulnerable to economic and policy changes
in one market. Expanding source markets is essential for resilience and
sustained growth.
Policymakers
must act decisively. The choices made today will determine whether the UK
thrives as a global tourism leader or becomes an also-ran in the face of
growing international competition.
Image Credit: © AA
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