Tourexpi
Spain’s leading refiners expect jet fuel supply to
remain stable through May, but warn of potential shortages in the summer if
geopolitical tensions persist. According to industry sources cited by Spanish
media, companies are already working to secure volumes for June as demand rises
ahead of the peak travel season.
Firms including Repsol, Moeve and BP are increasing
production to meet expected demand. The situation unfolds as Spain prepares for
a record tourism year, aiming to surpass 100 million international visitors.
Any disruption in fuel availability could directly affect flight capacity
during the busiest months.
Strong domestic production supports stability
Spain’s relatively high level of domestic refining
capacity is currently acting as a buffer. The country produces around 80 per
cent of the jet fuel it consumes, giving it a stronger position compared to
many other European markets.
Repsol CEO Josu Jon Imaz has warned that the ongoing
conflict could lead to fuel shortages across Europe, particularly in aviation.
At the same time, government representatives emphasise Spain’s resilience
within the European context. Ecological Transition Minister Sara Aagesen
described the country’s position as comparatively favourable due to its
production capacity.
At EU level, European Commission officials are taking
a more cautious view. Energy Commissioner Dan Jorgensen has indicated that even
in the event of a rapid de-escalation, disruptions to fuel markets could
continue for several months. The Commission is monitoring reserves and may
introduce mechanisms to redistribute fuel between member states if needed.
According to the International Energy Agency, Europe
currently holds aviation fuel reserves equivalent to roughly six weeks of
demand.
Airlines across Europe adjust to rising costs
Airlines in several European markets have already
begun adjusting operations in response to higher fuel costs and supply
uncertainty. The Lufthansa Group has announced plans to cut around 20,000
flights between April and October, joining carriers such as KLM and SAS in
scaling back capacity.
In contrast, Spanish airlines have so far maintained
their schedules and are planning to expand capacity for the summer season. This
approach is supported by domestic fuel availability and financial hedging
strategies designed to mitigate cost increases.
Industry representatives nevertheless point to growing
pressure. Javier Gándara, president of the Spanish airline association ALA,
noted that while supply is currently secure, rising costs are already affecting
airlines. “What is clear is there is a cost increase for companies, and it is
unclear which part can be covered by their margins and which by price hikes,”
he said.
The coming months will therefore be shaped by the
interplay between stable short-term supply, ongoing geopolitical risks and the
continued recovery of European air travel demand.
Image Credit: © AA
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